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The 837th Fighter-Day Group is an inactive United States Air Force unit. It was last active at Pocatello Municipal Airport, Idaho as a unit of the Idaho Air National Guard 165th Fighter Squadron, with the 330th Fighter Group, and stationed at Pocatello Municipal Airport, Idaho. It was inactivated on 8 November 1945.
The unit was first activated in 1942 as the IX Fighter Command Air Service Command (ASq). Following the disestablishment of the IX ASq, the unit was assigned to the Ninth Air Force, which became USAAF’s primary combat organization. In 1943, the 837th was transferred to the IX Fighter Command, which assumed operational control of units at Pocatello. In 1944, the group was reassigned to the Fourth Air Force, and again transferred the following year to the Second Air Force. In 1945, it was inactivated and replaced by the 8th Fighter Group at Geiger Field, Washington.
World War II
The 837th Fighter-Day Group was activated in early 1942 under the Second Air Force at Duncan Army Airfield, South Carolina. The group trained under Ninth Air Force until September 1942, when it was transferred to the Royal Air Force and the Fighter Command. Re-designated the 9th Fighter Group, it was assigned to the 62d Fighter Group at RAF Graveley to take part in the Battle of France. It was engaged in a period of intensive training until November 1942, when it was reassigned to the Ninth Air Force. The 9th was one of two American fighter groups assigned to the 9th Air Force.
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Ebola in West Africa is the single largest outbreak in the history of the world, and the WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern on August 8, 2014, the first declaration of that kind in nearly a decade. It went on to declare a State of Emergency on September 20.
As of today (October 12), WHO’s disease surveillance database lists some 28,849 cases and 9,596 deaths. WHO is taking pains to emphasize that this number is likely to be underestimated because it doesn’t include uncounted cases or the deaths that didn’t get reported.
It’s a higher total than the 24,000 cases (and 9,800 deaths) that WHO had estimated for April (the upper bound of the estimate was 25,000 cases and 9,800 deaths). But the count isn’t high enough to indicate success or failure.
It’s not even high enough to demonstrate a good or bad trend.
In the context of the Ebola outbreak, that sort of data isn’t enough. It’s only sufficient evidence of good health if there are more cases than expected. For a time, that’s been the case. But it’s also clear that changes in the patterns of transmission have shifted the shape of the epidemic. The new information that’s being delivered to the public seems to be accurate, but it can only reveal so much about the epidemic as a whole.
As a means of analysis, we don’t need more cases, just a shift in the direction of cases, towards higher values. If, for example, we see an increasing number of new cases in the north but not the south, that might indicate a shift of the epidemic’s center of gravity, towards the north.
It’s a tricky business, this “case trend”. If the front of an epidemic is moving slowly or not at all, then a sudden increase in cases would be a misleading indicator.